Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Friuli

Udinese
2 - 3
Spezia

Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50
12	Udinese	38	3	47
13	Bologna	38	-11	46

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Spezia
61.62% ( 0.09)	20.3% ( -0.02)	18.07% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.4% (

0.01)

38.59% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.1% (

0.01)

60.89% (

-0.01)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93% (

0.02)

12.06% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.42% (

0.06)

37.58% (

-0.06)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0.07)

34.77% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-0.07)

71.5% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Udinese 61.62%

Spezia 18.07%

Draw 20.3%

Udinese	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.62%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.07%