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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 3
Spezia

Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Udinese 2-1 Spezia

Spezia's fight for survival may go down to the final 90 minutes of a testing campaign - depending on the results of their fellow strugglers - as they are likely to return from Friuli empty-handed, given an away record which features just four wins from 18 previous attempts. Also conceding at a rate of over two goals per game on the road, the Aquilotti are set to be denied even a precious point by their hosts, who have improved offensively of late and tend to make the most of home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
61.62% (0.089000000000006 0.09) 20.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.42% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.58% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)34.77% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)71.5% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 61.62%
    Spezia 18.07%
    Draw 20.3%
UdineseDrawSpezia
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Spezia
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Lazio33164134235752
7Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
8Napoli321310950401049
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa33912123540-539
13CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
14Lecce32711142748-2132
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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