| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Empoli |
| 52.56% | 23.57% | 23.87% |
| Both teams to score 55.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% | 45.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% | 68.04% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% | 17.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.21% | 47.78% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% | 33.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.87% |