| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Cagliari |
| 51.22% | 25.71% | 23.07% |
| Both teams to score 47.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.94% | 55.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% | 76.32% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% | 21.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% | 54.6% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.87% | 39.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% | 75.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.07% |