| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari |
| 39.39% ( | 25.19% ( | 35.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( | 46.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% ( | 68.93% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( | 23.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( | 57.48% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( | 25.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( | 60.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.41% |