Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
1 - 3
Atalanta

Crnigoj (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pasalic (44'), Zapata (47'), Muriel (63')
Scalvini (49'), Zapata (57'), Djimsiti (71'), Piero Gasperini (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 13.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Venezia win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Atalanta BC
13.47%	18.04%	68.5%

Both teams to score 54.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73%

37.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.51%

59.49%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26%

39.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58%

76.41%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.09%

9.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.19%

32.81%

Score Analysis

Venezia 13.47%

Atalanta BC 68.49%

Draw 18.04%

Venezia	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.88% 1-0 @ 3.63% 2-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.47%	1-1 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.04%	0-2 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 7.48% 0-4 @ 4.69% 1-4 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-5 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 2% 2-4 @ 2% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 4.01% Total : 68.49%