| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
| 16.04% | 19.43% | 64.52% |
| Both teams to score 56.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% | 38.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% | 60.54% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% | 36.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.3% | 73.7% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% | 11.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.31% | 35.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
| 2-1 @ 4.49% 1-0 @ 4.11% 2-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.05% | 1-1 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.43% | 0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 7.21% 0-4 @ 3.96% 1-4 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 3.59% 2-4 @ 1.97% 0-5 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.31% Total : 64.52% |