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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Juventus logo

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Juventus

Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus

Fiorentina can end their losing streak against Juventus by taking a point from Saturday's Serie A finale, but that may not be enough to secure European football - their fate depending on what transpires elsewhere. A season of toil and trouble for Juve finally comes to an end, and they may not be entirely focused on football matters this week, ahead of further upheaval at the club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawJuventus
39.05% (0.708 0.71) 25.2% (0.4 0.4) 35.75% (-1.111 -1.11)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-1.523 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-1.928 -1.93)46.65% (1.925 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-1.832 -1.83)68.91% (1.83 1.83)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.49600000000001 -0.5)23.63% (0.494 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.719 -0.72)57.71% (0.716 0.72)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (-1.503 -1.5)25.42% (1.501 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.77% (-2.104 -2.1)60.23% (2.101 2.1)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 39.05%
    Juventus 35.75%
    Draw 25.19%
FiorentinaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.566 0.57)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.322 0.32)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.473 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Juventus

Fiorentina
29.4%
Draw
21.3%
Juventus
49.3%
136
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Mar 2, 2022 8pm
Nov 6, 2021 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Fiorentina
Cuadrado (90+1')
Danilo (45+2'), Rugani (88')

Martinez (26'), Milenkovic (66'), Nastasic (82')
Milenkovic (73')
Apr 25, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Juventus
Vlahovic (29' pen.)
Julio (40'), Caceres (61'), Biraghi (88')
Morata (46')
de Ligt (52')
Dec 22, 2020 7.45pm
Juventus
0-3
Fiorentina

Danilo (85')
Cuadrado (18')
Vlahovic (3'), Sandro (76' og.), Caceres (81')
Biraghi (22'), Ribery (37'), Valero (47'), Venuti (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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