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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma

Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

While Fiorentina have recently stumbled, they are usually a tough nut to crack in Florence, and their visitors may have one eye on an upcoming European final. Roma's need to rotate could also dilute their chances of posting a vital away win, so they will have to settle for just a point against ambitious opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
47.06% (1.919 1.92) 23.66% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.28% (-1.634 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (0.451 0.45)41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (0.453 0.45)64.22% (-0.455 -0.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.955 0.95)17.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.614 1.61)48.85% (-1.617 -1.62)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.842 -0.84)27.06% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.113 -1.11)62.43% (1.111 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.06%
    Roma 29.28%
    Draw 23.65%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.283 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
24.3%
Draw
27.6%
Roma
48.1%
210
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')
Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-4
Roma
Badelj (34')
Pezzella (21'), Caceres (45'), Castrovilli (64'), Vlahovic (89')
Dzeko (19'), Kolarov (21'), Pellegrini (73'), Zaniolo (88')
Zaniolo (38'), Kolarov (45'), Diawara (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma32167957381955
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


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