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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma

Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

While Fiorentina have recently stumbled, they are usually a tough nut to crack in Florence, and their visitors may have one eye on an upcoming European final. Roma's need to rotate could also dilute their chances of posting a vital away win, so they will have to settle for just a point against ambitious opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
47.06% (1.919 1.92) 23.66% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.28% (-1.634 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (0.451 0.45)41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (0.453 0.45)64.22% (-0.455 -0.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.955 0.95)17.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.614 1.61)48.85% (-1.617 -1.62)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.842 -0.84)27.06% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.113 -1.11)62.43% (1.111 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.06%
    Roma 29.28%
    Draw 23.65%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.283 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
24.3%
Draw
27.6%
Roma
48.1%
210
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')
Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-4
Roma
Badelj (34')
Pezzella (21'), Caceres (45'), Castrovilli (64'), Vlahovic (89')
Dzeko (19'), Kolarov (21'), Pellegrini (73'), Zaniolo (88')
Zaniolo (38'), Kolarov (45'), Diawara (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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