Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
47.06% ( 1.92) | 23.66% ( -0.29) | 29.28% ( -1.63) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.18% ( 0.45) | 41.82% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.78% ( 0.45) | 64.22% ( -0.45) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% ( 0.95) | 17.99% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.15% ( 1.61) | 48.85% ( -1.62) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.84) | 27.06% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( -1.11) | 62.43% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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