Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
47.06% ( 1.92) | 23.66% ( -0.29) | 29.28% ( -1.63) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.18% ( 0.45) | 41.82% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.78% ( 0.45) | 64.22% ( -0.45) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% ( 0.95) | 17.99% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.15% ( 1.61) | 48.85% ( -1.62) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.84) | 27.06% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( -1.11) | 62.43% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |