UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 1
Roma

(Roma win 2-1 on aggregate)

Mancini (67' og.)
Dewsbury-Hall (26'), Vardy (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellegrini (15')
Abraham (8'), Zaniolo (63')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Roma
50.22%	23.46%	26.32%

Both teams to score 58.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02%

42.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61%

65.39%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48%

47.52%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15%

65.85%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 50.22%

Roma 26.32%

Draw 23.45%

Leicester City	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.94% Total : 50.22%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 6.62% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.32%