| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
| 8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 45.23% | 25.02% | 29.75% |
| Both teams to score 55.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% | 47.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% | 69.85% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% | 21.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% | 53.93% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% | 65.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.75% |