Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.