Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Mar 19, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Arsenal

Ramsey (15'), Mings (33'), McGinn (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Saka (30')
Xhaka (45+1'), Soares (57'), Partey (65')

Reaction

Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard on March 19, 2022

Steven Gerrard: 'Bukayo Saka can't complain about physicality'

Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard insists that Arsenal attacker Bukayo Saka cannot complain about the physicality of the Premier League.

Mar 21, 12:09

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	13	69
6	Manchester United	38	0	58

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
30.06%	25.47%	44.47%

Both teams to score 54.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54%

49.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5%

71.5%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61%

30.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42%

66.58%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79%

22.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.38%

55.62%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 30.06%

Arsenal 44.46%

Draw 25.47%

Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.06%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.46%