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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Watford logo

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Watford


Cash (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dennis (78')
Sarr (66'), Kamara (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Aston Villa 2-1 Watford

Aston Villa's leaky backline should provide Watford with a decent chance of ending their four-game drought without a goal. However, the hosts will head into Saturday's fixture as the favourites and they should have enough quality in their side to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWatford
43.05%26.37%30.58%
Both teams to score 51.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06%52.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46%74.54%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6%24.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19%58.81%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2%31.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77%68.23%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 43.04%
    Watford 30.58%
    Draw 26.36%
Aston VillaDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.04%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.58%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Watford

Aston Villa
86.3%
Draw
7.8%
Watford
5.9%
102
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Watford
3-2
Aston Villa
Dennis (10'), Sarr (42'), Camilo Hernandez (67')
Kucka (23'), Sema (55'), Etebo (86')
McGinn (70'), Ings (90+7' pen.)
Mings (54')
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
Aston Villa
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


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