Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 28.57% | 27.04% | 44.38% |
| Both teams to score 48.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% | 56.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% | 77.36% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% | 35.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.17% | 71.82% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% | 25.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% | 59.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.39% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.38% |