Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Dec 29, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 1
Brighton

Lukaku (28')
Rudiger (41'), Kovacic (58'), Hudson-Odoi (64'), Mount (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Welbeck (90+1')
Bissouma (81')

Reaction

A disappointed Thomas Tuchel during Chelsea's defeat to West Ham United on December 4, 2021.

Thomas Tuchel frustrated after Chelsea held by Brighton

Head coach Thomas Tuchel says that Chelsea were denied "a 100% penalty" before eventually conceding a late equaliser to Brighton & Hove Albion on Wednesday night.

Dec 29, 22:18

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
66.03%	20.57%	13.4%

Both teams to score 45.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2%

48.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1%

70.9%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.06%

13.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.59%

41.4%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.89%

47.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.43%

82.57%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 66.03%

Brighton & Hove Albion 13.4%

Draw 20.57%

Chelsea	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.44% Total : 66.03%	1-1 @ 9.74% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.57%	0-1 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 3.67% 0-2 @ 1.86% 1-3 @ 0.92% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.11% Total : 13.4%