Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.