Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Norwich City |
50.1% | 25.86% | 24.04% |
Both teams to score 48.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% | 54.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% | 76.12% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% | 21.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% | 55.19% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% | 38.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% | 74.86% |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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