Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 4, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 3
Man City

Camilo Hernandez (74')
King (7'), Rose (31'), Cathcart (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sterling (4'), Silva (31', 63')

Reaction

Manchester City's Bernardo Silva celebrates with Jack Grealish and Raheem Sterling on December 4, 2021

Manchester City set new club record with Watford victory

Manchester City set a new club record following their 3-1 Premier League victory away against Watford on Saturday evening.

Dec 4, 20:29

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.56%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Watford had a probability of 9.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 0-3 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Watford	Draw	Manchester City
9.45%	15.99%	74.56%

Both teams to score 47.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08%

38.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.76%

61.24%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.16%

47.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.88%

83.11%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.09%

8.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.56%

30.44%

Score Analysis

Watford 9.45%

Manchester City 74.54%

Draw 15.99%

Watford	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 3.14% 2-1 @ 2.8% 2-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.35% Total : 9.45%	1-1 @ 7.6% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.75% Total : 15.99%	0-2 @ 12.46% 0-1 @ 10.3% 0-3 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.19% 1-3 @ 7.41% 0-4 @ 6.08% 1-4 @ 4.48% 0-5 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.65% 0-6 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.91% Total : 74.54%