Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 1, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Chelsea

Dennis (43')
Louza (45'), Troost-Ekong (45+4'), Cleverley (84'), Rose (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mount (29'), Ziyech (72')
Niguez (16'), Alonso (45+2'), Ziyech (65')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel during the game with Watford on December 1, 2021.

Thomas Tuchel: 'Chelsea stole three points from Watford'

Head coach Thomas Tuchel acknowledges that he was unhappy with Chelsea's performance during their 2-1 victory over Watford on Wednesday night.

Dec 1, 22:35

Watford's Joao Pedro in action with Chelsea's Cesar Azpilicueta, December 1, 2021

Watford vs. Chelsea match temporarily suspended

Watford vs. Chelsea has been temporarily suspended due to a medical emergency within the ground at Vicarage Road.

Dec 1, 19:56

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Chelsea
12.36%	19.45%	68.19%

Both teams to score 46.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55%

46.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27%

68.72%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.67%

47.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.27%

82.73%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42%

12.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.34%

38.66%

Score Analysis

Watford 12.36%

Chelsea 68.18%

Draw 19.45%

Watford	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 4.45% 2-1 @ 3.45% 2-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.79% Total : 12.36%	1-1 @ 9.23% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.45%	0-2 @ 12.79% 0-1 @ 12.34% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 6.61% 0-4 @ 4.58% 1-4 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-5 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.94% Total : 68.18%