Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Watford |
| 35.61% | 28.06% | 36.33% |
| Both teams to score 47.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.54% | 58.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.95% | 79.05% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% | 31.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% | 67.56% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% | 30.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% | 67.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 3% Total : 35.6% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.33% |