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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Watford logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Watford

Saint-Maximin (49')
Shelvey (6'), Fraser (53'), Dummett (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (88')
Sissoko (51'), Samir (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Watford

Newcastle will view this match as the perfect chance to secure their second league victory of the campaign, but Watford will also believe that they can cause problems to their fellow strugglers; it should be a close game at St James' Park, but we are backing Wood to find the back of the net in a 2-1 home success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWatford
35.61%28.06%36.33%
Both teams to score 47.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54%58.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95%79.05%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24%30.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98%67.02%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.6%
    Watford 36.33%
    Draw 28.06%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.33%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Watford

Newcastle United
71.7%
Draw
12.0%
Watford
16.2%
191
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Sarr (72')
Dennis (17'), Troost-Ekong (40'), Rose (56'), Cathcart (69')
Longstaff (23')
Manquillo (18'), Ritchie (30'), Darlow (90+1')
Jul 11, 2020 12.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Fourth Round
Newcastle
0-2
Watford

Longstaff (90')
Gray (61'), Success (90')
Wilmot (56'), Chalobah (64'), Britos (75')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Doucoure (82')
Masina (44')
Rondon (29')
Yedlin (66'), Schar (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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