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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Watford logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Watford

Saint-Maximin (49')
Shelvey (6'), Fraser (53'), Dummett (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (88')
Sissoko (51'), Samir (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Watford

Newcastle will view this match as the perfect chance to secure their second league victory of the campaign, but Watford will also believe that they can cause problems to their fellow strugglers; it should be a close game at St James' Park, but we are backing Wood to find the back of the net in a 2-1 home success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWatford
35.61%28.06%36.33%
Both teams to score 47.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54%58.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95%79.05%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24%30.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98%67.02%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.6%
    Watford 36.33%
    Draw 28.06%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.33%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Watford

Newcastle United
71.7%
Draw
12.0%
Watford
16.2%
191
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Sarr (72')
Dennis (17'), Troost-Ekong (40'), Rose (56'), Cathcart (69')
Longstaff (23')
Manquillo (18'), Ritchie (30'), Darlow (90+1')
Jul 11, 2020 12.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Fourth Round
Newcastle
0-2
Watford

Longstaff (90')
Gray (61'), Success (90')
Wilmot (56'), Chalobah (64'), Britos (75')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Doucoure (82')
Masina (44')
Rondon (29')
Yedlin (66'), Schar (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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