Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | West Ham United |
| 21.16% | 23.22% | 55.61% |
| Both teams to score 52.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% | 36.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% | 73.35% |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% | 16.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% | 46.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | West Ham United |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-1 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.77% 1-3 @ 5.84% 0-3 @ 5.81% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.61% 0-4 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 0.93% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.1% Total : 55.61% |