Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford1 - 4West Ham
We said: Watford 1-2 West Ham United
Although West Ham had their confidence hammered again on Boxing Day, their hosts have not kept a clean sheet all season and are not about to start now, given some inevitable rustiness after a fortnight in cold storage. Injuries have limited the Irons' effectiveness in recent weeks, but they should still have enough threat to edge a team which has such a soft underbelly - particularly if Antonio is closer to full fitness and back in form inside the box. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | West Ham United |
| 21.16% | 23.22% | 55.61% |
| Both teams to score 52.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
