FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Feb 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 1
Brighton

Kane (13', 66'), March (24' og.)
Bentancur (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bissouma (63')
Veltman (57')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
45.76%	25.34%	28.9%

Both teams to score 53.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5%

49.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.47%

71.53%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37%

21.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25%

54.75%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76%

31.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41%

67.59%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 45.75%

Brighton & Hove Albion 28.9%

Draw 25.34%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.75%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.9%