Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Watford |
| 45.21% | 27.55% | 27.24% |
| Both teams to score 46.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.18% | 58.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% | 79.33% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% | 25.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% | 60.96% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% | 74.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.24% |