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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
St James' Park
Aston Villa logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Trippier (35')
Joelinton (39'), Burn (66'), Shelvey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGinn (42'), Luiz (89'), Bailey (90+5'), Ramsey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-2 Aston Villa

Aston Villa secured a routine win in the reverse fixture against Newcastle earlier this season, but they are set to face a different proposition on Sunday and could be in for a challenging afternoon in the North-East. Confidence is beginning to grow within the Magpies camp and although they will be desperate to claim another three points here, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
34.54%27.68%37.78%
Both teams to score 48.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89%57.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.99%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77%31.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43%67.57%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85%65.15%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 34.53%
    Aston Villa 37.78%
    Draw 27.68%
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Newcastle United
39.6%
Draw
25.2%
Aston Villa
35.1%
202
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Ings (45+3'), El Ghazi (62' pen.)
Luiz (45+1'), Martinez (75'), Buendia (85')

Wilson (41'), Hayden (45'), Murphy (57'), Schar (84')
Mar 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Newcastle
1-1
Aston Villa
Lascelles (90+4')
Krafth (52'), Lascelles (68')
Watkins (86')
McGinn (74'), Sanson (77'), Mings (78')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Watkins (13'), Traore (42')

Schar (26'), Carroll (54'), Lascelles (57')
Jun 24, 2020 6pm
Nov 25, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


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