Aston Villa vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.