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FA Cup

West Ham logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
Leeds logo

West Ham
2 - 0
Leeds

Lanzini (34'), Bowen (90+3')
Lanzini (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Drameh (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between West Ham United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLeeds United
46.37%23.72%29.91%
Both teams to score 60.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28%41.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88%64.12%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77%18.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75%49.25%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41%26.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19%61.81%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 46.37%
    Leeds United 29.91%
    Draw 23.71%
West Ham UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: West Ham vs Leeds

West Ham United
70.6%
Draw
15.1%
Leeds United
14.3%
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