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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
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Leeds
3 - 1
Burnley

Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leeds United 1-0 Burnley

 Even if Bamford is only fit enough to turn out for 45 or 60 minutes on Sunday, the England international's comeback will certainly aid Leeds' prospects of a priceless three points in this basement battle. Burnley did not simply roll over against Man United, but their away-day struggles and COVID-related absences will likely hinder their chances of a positive result as they begin 2022 on the back foot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
51.62%25.14%23.23%
Both teams to score 49.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21%52.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58%74.41%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29%37.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51%74.48%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 51.61%
    Burnley 23.23%
    Draw 25.14%
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.23%
2-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds United
73.2%
Draw
16.6%
Burnley
10.2%
157
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
> Match Report
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
> Match Report
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Burnley
2-2
Leeds
 Leeds win 5-3 on penalties
Wood (89' pen.), Brady (96')
Bardsley (53'), Berg Gudmundsson (70'), Long (85')
Sacko (80'), Hernandez (94' pen.)
Grot (45'), Roofe (59')
Apr 9, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Leeds
Arfield (2')
Barton (59')

Murphy (68')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916
> Premier League Full Table


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