Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Southampton

Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Romeu (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League

Next Game: Man City vs. Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Crystal Palace	37	3	45
14	Aston Villa	37	-1	45
15	Southampton	37	-21	40

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Liverpool
Tuesday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Next Game: Leicester vs. Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Aston Villa	37	-1	45
15	Southampton	37	-21	40
16	Everton	37	-19	39

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Southampton
44.42%	25.51%	30.08%

Both teams to score 54.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4%

49.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38%

71.62%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25%

55.75%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55%

30.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34%

66.66%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 44.41%

Southampton 30.08%

Draw 25.5%

Aston Villa	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.41%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.08%