| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
| 11.94% ( | 17.7% ( | 70.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.38% ( | 39.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.03% ( | 61.97% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( | 43.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.15% ( | 79.85% ( |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.92% ( | 10.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.79% ( | 33.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 3.65% ( 2-1 @ 3.47% ( 2-0 @ 1.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 3-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 11.94% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 2-2 @ 3.98% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 17.7% | 0-2 @ 11.58% ( 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0-3 @ 8.86% ( 1-3 @ 7.34% ( 0-4 @ 5.08% ( 1-4 @ 4.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-5 @ 2.33% ( 1-5 @ 1.93% ( 2-4 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 4.52% Total : 70.36% |