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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Power Stadium
Southampton logo

Leicester
4 - 1
Southampton

Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Southampton

This looks set to be an entertaining encounter at the King Power Stadium on Sunday, with both sides opting for expansive styles and struggling to keep clean sheets. As a result, goals should be expected at both ends of the pitch, but we can see the hosts coming out on top as they look to continue their improved finish to the campaign, and pile further misery on the visitors' dreadful run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
57.29% (0.245 0.24) 21.49% (-0.157 -0.16) 21.22% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.7% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61% (0.62 0.62)39.38% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27% (0.646 0.65)61.72% (-0.646 -0.65)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.277 0.28)13.57% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.32% (0.555 0.56)40.68% (-0.556 -0.56)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (0.27199999999999 0.27)32.08% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (0.308 0.31)68.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 57.29%
    Southampton 21.22%
    Draw 21.49%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.22%

How you voted: Leicester vs Southampton

Leicester City
83.8%
Draw
11.7%
Southampton
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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