Premier League Gameweek 38
Leicester
May 22, 2022 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • James Maddison 49' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 74' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 81' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 70'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 79'

Leicester City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2022 8.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
Southampton 1 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
James Ward-Prowse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 57.29% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 21.49% ▼ (-0.16)
Southampton 21.22% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.7% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.61% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 2.5 39.38% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 3.5 38.27% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 3.5 61.72% ▼ (-0.65)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 86.42% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 13.57% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 59.32% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 1.5 40.68% ▼ (-0.56)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 67.92% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 32.08% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 31.45% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 68.55% ▼ (-0.31)

Score analysis

Leicester City 57.29%
Draw 21.49%
Southampton 21.22%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 57.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.49%
Southampton
1-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 14
Southampton
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Leicester
  • Jan Bednarek 3' goal
  • Che Adams 34' goal
  • Oriol Romeu 48' yellowcard
  • goal Jonny Evans 22'
  • goal James Maddison 49'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 55'
  • yellowcard Wilfred Ndidi 82'
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Southampton
Apr 30, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leicester
  • Jannik Vestergaard 10' redcard
  • Takumi Minamino 50' yellowcard
  • James Ward-Prowse 61' goal
  • goal Jonny Evans 68'
FA Cup
Leicester
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Southampton
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 55' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Diallo 5'
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 49'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Leicester
Jan 16, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Southampton
  • Wesley Fofana 15' yellowcard
  • James Maddison 37' goal
  • Marc Albrighton 45' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Diallo 44'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bertrand 59'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Leicester
Jan 11, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Southampton
  • Dennis Praet 14' goal
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 16'
  • goal Stuart Armstrong 19'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 72'
  • goal Danny Ings 81'
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 81'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Southampton
Oct 25, 2019 8.00pm
0
9
HT : 0 5
FT
Leicester
  • Ryan Bertrand 12' redcard
  • goal Ben Chilwell 10'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 17'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 19'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 39'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 45'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 57'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 58'
  • goal James Maddison 85'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 94'

Form Data

Chelsea 1 - 1 Leicester
Watford 1 - 5 Leicester
Leicester 3 - 0 Norwich
Leicester 1 - 2 Everton
Roma 1 - 0 Leicester
Spurs 3 - 1 Leicester
Southampton 1 - 2 Liverpool
Brentford 3 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 2 Crystal Palace
Brighton 2 - 2 Southampton
Burnley 2 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 0 Arsenal