Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 16, 2022 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 0
Arsenal

Bednarek (44')
Broja (56'), Long (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

White (90+1')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta on April 9, 2022

Mikel Arteta praises "exceptional" Fraser Forster after Southampton defeat

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta hails "exceptional" Southampton goalkeeper Fraser Forster after the Gunners slump to a 1-0 defeat at St Mary's.

Apr 17, 08:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40
16	Everton	38	-23	39

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	13	69
6	Manchester United	38	0	58

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Arsenal
20.84%	22.42%	56.74%

Both teams to score 54.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.89%

44.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.51%

66.49%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87%

35.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12%

71.88%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66%

15.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.91%

44.09%

Score Analysis

Southampton 20.84%

Arsenal 56.74%

Draw 22.41%

Southampton	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 5.64% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 2.95% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.84%	1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.39% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.41%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.47% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-3 @ 5.92% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.74%