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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Southampton logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Southampton

Harrison (29')
Ayling (58'), Marsch (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Southampton

A two-week period with no Premier League action may be just the tonic that Southampton needed to recover from their abysmal streak, and Leeds are yet to find the optimal defensive formula under Marsch. Confidence will be through the roof in the Elland Road ranks following the five-goal thriller at Molineux, but a refreshed Southampton can take advantage of the hosts' ongoing fitness woes to take a point home from an entertaining clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
50.14%24.24%25.62%
Both teams to score 54.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96%47.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72%69.28%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21%18.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.79%50.21%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52%32.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31%69.01%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.14%
    Southampton 25.62%
    Draw 24.24%
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.14%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.86%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Leeds vs Southampton

Leeds United
51.6%
Draw
27.4%
Southampton
21.1%
190
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
May 18, 2021 6pm
Southampton
0-2
Leeds
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')
Feb 23, 2021 6pm
Mar 3, 2012 5.20pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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