Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
50.14% | 24.24% | 25.62% |
Both teams to score 54.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% | 47.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% | 69.28% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.21% | 18.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.79% | 50.21% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% | 32.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31% | 69.01% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.14% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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