Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.