Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 25

Feb 12, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
1 - 1
Southampton

Sancho (21')
Rashford (16'), McTominay (31'), Pogba (85'), Lingard (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adams (48')

Reaction

Manchester United's Edinson Cavani during the warm up, January 3, 2022

Ralf Rangnick explains Edinson Cavani absence against Southampton

Edinson Cavani is out of Manchester United's Premier League clash with Southampton due to a groin injury.

Feb 12, 12:31

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Southampton
65.75%	19.02%	15.24%

Both teams to score 55.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.05%

37.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.79%

60.21%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.22%

10.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.21%

34.79%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.26%

37.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.48%

74.52%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 65.74%

Southampton 15.24%

Draw 19.02%

Manchester United	Draw	Southampton
2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.5% Total : 65.74%	1-1 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.79% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.02%	1-2 @ 4.3% 0-1 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.24%