We said: Southampton 1-2 Manchester City
Southampton are more than capable of upsetting Man City to reach the semi-finals, but it is always difficult to back against the Citizens due to the strength of their squad. Guardiola can make changes and still send a brilliant side onto the field, and we are expecting the visitors to secure the victory within 90 minutes here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
