FA Cup

FA Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 4
Man City

Laporte (45+2' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sterling (12'), De Bruyne (62' pen.), Foden (75'), Mahrez (78')
Steffen (71')

Reaction

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates scoring their second goal with Raheem Sterling on March 20, 2022

Manchester City march past spirited Southampton into FA Cup semi-finals

Manchester City book their place in the FA Cup semi-finals courtesy of a 4-1 victory away at Southampton on Sunday afternoon.

Mar 20, 17:27

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40
16	Everton	38	-23	39

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Manchester City
16.5%	20.64%	62.85%

Both teams to score 52.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02%

42.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.62%

65.38%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.76%

39.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.05%

75.95%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.93%

13.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.34%

39.65%

Score Analysis

Southampton 16.5%

Manchester City 62.84%

Draw 20.64%

Southampton	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 4.8% 2-1 @ 4.57% 2-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.5%	1-1 @ 9.76% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.64%	0-2 @ 10.61% 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 6.74% 0-4 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 3.15% 2-4 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.49% 1-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.84%