Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Feb 26, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
0 - 1
Man City

van de Beek (27'), Allan (57'), Alli (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Foden (82')
Ederson (87'), Foden (89')

Reaction

Manchester City's Rodri in action before a VAR review does not award a penalty for handball on February 26, 2022

Mike Riley 'apologises to Everton for Rodri handball decision'

PGMOL chief Mike Riley reportedly apologises to Bill Kenwright and Frank Lampard after Everton were not awarded a penalty for Rodri's handball against Manchester City.

Mar 1, 12:57

Everton complain to Premier League over refereeing decision

Everton have reportedly made an official complaint to the Premier League following recent refereeing decisions, with the club demanding an apology.

Feb 28, 21:48

Dermot Gallagher: 'Officials were wrong to dismiss Rodri handball'

Dermot Gallagher claims there is "no doubt" that Everton should have been awarded a penalty against Manchester City, following Rodri's handball inside the area.

Feb 28, 13:38

Everton manager Frank Lampard applauds fans after the match on February 26, 2022

Frank Lampard: 'My three year-old daughter could see it was a penalty'

Everton manager Frank Lampard has given his honest thoughts on the controversial penalty decision during the recent 1-0 defeat against Manchester City.

Feb 27, 09:41

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.95%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Manchester City
10.84%	17.46%	71.7%

Both teams to score 47.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.43%

41.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.02%

63.98%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.12%

46.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.6%

82.4%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.73%

10.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.36%

33.65%

Score Analysis

Everton 10.84%

Manchester City 71.69%

Draw 17.46%

Everton	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 3.65% 2-1 @ 3.15% 2-0 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.84%	1-1 @ 8.3% 0-0 @ 4.82% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.46%	0-2 @ 12.47% 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-3 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 9.45% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 5.38% 1-4 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-5 @ 2.45% 1-5 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-6 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.23% Total : 71.69%