Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Everton |
| 42.28% | 26.93% | 30.79% |
| Both teams to score 49.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.95% | 55.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% | 76.31% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% | 25.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% | 60.66% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% | 32.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% | 69.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.79% |