Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
| 44.64% | 25.34% | 30.03% |
| Both teams to score 54.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% | 70.99% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% | 21.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% | 55.15% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% | 30.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% | 66.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.63% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.03% |