Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Mar 10, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 2
Newcastle

Armstrong (25')
Bednarek (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wood (32'), Guimaraes (52')
Murphy (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Newcastle United are looking to continue their fine form on Thursday, and Eddie Howe has some decisions to make with a couple of key players being fit again.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40
16	Everton	38	-23	39

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
51.01%	26.65%	22.34%

Both teams to score 44.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.98%

59.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.51%

79.49%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71%

23.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77%

57.23%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.89%

42.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.47%

78.53%

Score Analysis

Southampton 51.01%

Newcastle United 22.34%

Draw 26.65%

Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 14.29% 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 9.81% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.34%