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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 10, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Newcastle logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Newcastle

Armstrong (25')
Bednarek (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wood (32'), Guimaraes (52')
Murphy (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Newcastle United are looking to continue their fine form on Thursday, and Eddie Howe has some decisions to make with a couple of key players being fit again.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Southampton 2-0 Newcastle United

Without Wilson and Saint-Maximin leading the charge, Newcastle have lost a good chunk of their attacking bite and are facing an uphill battle even against this depleted Saints backline. Hasenhuttl's side are not without their own selection concerns, but they tend to turn up the heat in front of their own supporters and can prolong Newcastle's away-day misery with a professional victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawNewcastle United
51.01%26.65%22.34%
Both teams to score 44.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.98%59.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51%79.49%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77%57.23%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.89%42.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.47%78.53%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 51.01%
    Newcastle United 22.34%
    Draw 26.65%
SouthamptonDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 14.29%
2-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 9.81%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: Southampton vs Newcastle

Southampton
48.6%
Draw
24.6%
Newcastle United
26.8%
142
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Newcastle
2-2
Southampton
Wilson (55'), Saint-Maximin (90')
Schar (40'), Lascelles (90+5')
Elyounoussi (74'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)
Walker-Peters (30'), Djenepo (56'), Ward-Prowse (79')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Newcastle
3-2
Southampton
Willock (16'), Almiron (26', 45+4')
Hendrick (11'), Krafth (45+3')
Hendrick (50')
Minamino (30'), Ward-Prowse (48')
Bednarek (73')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


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