FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton3 - 1West Ham
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | West Ham United |
| 33.38% | 25.49% | 41.13% |
| Both teams to score 55.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% | 48.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% | 70.51% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% | 27.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% | 63.19% |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% | 23.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Score Analysis |
Southampton 33.38%
West Ham United 41.13%
Draw 25.49%
| Southampton | Draw | West Ham United |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.45% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.13% |
How you voted: Southampton vs West Ham
Southampton
46.3%Draw
21.1%West Ham United
32.6%175


