Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 1
Brighton

Fraser (12'), Schar (14')
Joelinton (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dunk (55')
Duffy (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Monday, May 16 at 8pm in Premier League

Next Game: Burnley vs. Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Brentford	37	-7	46
12	Newcastle United	37	-19	46
13	Crystal Palace	37	3	45

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Brighton
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League

Next Game: Brighton vs. West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Leicester City	37	0	49
10	Brighton & Hove Albion	37	-4	48
11	Brentford	37	-7	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
35.11%	26.74%	38.14%

Both teams to score 51.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.62%

53.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08%

74.92%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99%

29.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09%

64.91%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.79%

27.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.37%

62.62%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 35.11%

Brighton & Hove Albion 38.14%

Draw 26.74%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.11%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.14%