Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.