Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
0 - 1
Wolves

McTominay (48'), Shaw (56'), Matic (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moutinho (82')
Sa (90+4')

Reaction

Manchester United interim manager Ralf Rangnick during the match on January 3, 2022

Will Manchester United finish in the top four this season?

Following Manchester United's 1-0 home defeat to Wolverhampton Wanderers, the Sports Mole team discuss whether Ralf Rangnick can steer the club into the top four.

Jan 4, 18:11

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
58.95%	23.28%	17.78%

Both teams to score 47.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11%

51.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36%

73.64%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69%

17.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.33%

47.67%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.01%

42.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72%

79.28%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 58.94%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 17.78%

Draw 23.27%

Manchester United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.05% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 58.94%	1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.78%