Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 40.08% | 27.51% | 32.41% |
| Both teams to score 48.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.19% | 56.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% | 77.74% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% | 63.31% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% | 69.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.41% |