| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
| 41.41% | 25.95% | 32.63% |
| Both teams to score 53.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% | 50.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% | 72.47% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% | 24.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% | 58.48% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% | 65.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.63% |