Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 79.58%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 6.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.54%) and 1-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.