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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Burnley

Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-1 Burnley

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Brentford Community Stadium, though both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. Burnley are unbeaten in their last three away games, including two in London against Arsenal and Crystal Palace, and we can see them securing at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
46.85%26.96%26.2%
Both teams to score 47.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44%37.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.34%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 46.85%
    Burnley 26.2%
    Draw 26.96%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley

Brentford
44.8%
Draw
25.7%
Burnley
29.5%
183
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
Brentford
1-3
Burnley
Judge (57')
Arfield (12'), Barton (30'), Boyd (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


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