| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
| 46.85% | 26.96% | 26.2% |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% | 57.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.85% | 78.15% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% | 24.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% | 58.93% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% | 37.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.66% | 74.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.69% Total : 26.2% |