| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 27.46% | 26.43% | 46.1% |
| Both teams to score 49.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.38% | 54.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% | 75.96% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% | 35.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% | 71.78% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% | 23.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% | 57.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.47% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.1% |