| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
| 20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
| 33.94% | 27.46% | 38.6% |
| Both teams to score 49.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% | 56.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% | 77.38% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% | 31.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% | 67.59% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.6% |