Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.