Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.