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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
King Power Stadium
Leeds logo

Leicester
1 - 0
Leeds

Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Leicester
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Leicester vs. Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Brighton
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brentford vs. Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Leeds United

The Leeds players will be looking to impress their new manager this weekend, and we are expecting a much-improved performance from the visitors. Leicester were impressive against Burnley last time out, though, and we are backing the Foxes to collect all three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
68.37%17.79%13.85%
Both teams to score 56.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.88%35.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.87%57.13%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64%9.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.46%31.54%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2%37.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43%74.57%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 68.37%
    Leeds United 13.85%
    Draw 17.79%
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 8.38%
3-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 7.63%
4-0 @ 4.64%
4-1 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.71%
5-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 2.2%
5-1 @ 2.14%
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 68.37%
1-1 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 4.7%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.79%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-1 @ 3.44%
0-2 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 13.85%

How you voted: Leicester vs Leeds

Leicester City
79.3%
Draw
10.5%
Leeds United
10.1%
237
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Jan 18, 2014 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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