Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 0
Leeds

Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')

Reaction

Leeds United manager Jesse Marsch applauds fans after the match on March 5, 2022

Leeds United boss Jesse Marsch: 'We didn't get what we deserved in Leicester City loss'

Leeds United head coach Jesse Marsch believes that his new side were unfortunate not to come away with at least a point after losing 1-0 away at Leicester City on Saturday.

Mar 5, 15:12

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Leicester
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League

Next Game: Leicester vs. Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Wolverhampton Wanderers	37	-3	51
9	Leicester City	37	0	49
10	Brighton & Hove Albion	37	-4	48

Leeds United

Last Six:

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Brighton
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League

Next Game: Brentford vs. Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Burnley	37	-18	35
18	Leeds United	37	-38	35
19	Watford	37	-42	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Leeds United
68.37%	17.79%	13.85%

Both teams to score 56.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.88%

35.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.87%

57.13%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.64%

9.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.46%

31.54%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.2%

37.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.43%

74.57%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 68.37%

Leeds United 13.85%

Draw 17.79%

Leicester City	Draw	Leeds United
2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.38% 3-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.71% 5-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 2.14% 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.49% Total : 68.37%	1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.7% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.79%	1-2 @ 3.97% 0-1 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.95% Total : 13.85%